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Predicting Outcomes of Tennis Matches with Dynamic Bayesian Networks

For the purpose of building prediction models in tennis markets, I've developed a Bayesian inference engine in Scala. One of tutorials I wrote on this tool is...

0 replies - 3406 views - 11/21/12 by Daniel Korzekwa in Articles

Are Forecasters Liable for Failures of Prediction?

There have been a lot of interesting papers about the "manslaughter trial" of six seismologists and a government official in Italy, where justice...

1 replies - 2598 views - 10/23/12 by Arthur Charpentier in Articles

Volatility in Adaptive Randomization

Randomized clinical trials essentially flip a coin to assign patients to treatment arms. Outcome-adaptive randomization “bends” the coin to favor what...

0 replies - 1901 views - 10/22/12 by John Cook in Articles