Bayes theorem

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Understanding Bayes Theorem with Mario Kart

Trying to understand Bayes' theorem? Here, Luigi uses it to analyze banana-related kart accidents: And for another quick and concise take on the...

0 replies - 1714 views - 04/26/13 by Eric Gregory in Articles

The Difference Between Prediction Intervals and Confidence Intervals

Pre­dic­tion inter­vals and con­fi­dence inter­vals are not the same thing. Unfor­tu­nately the terms are often con­fused, and I am often...

0 replies - 2523 views - 03/14/13 by Rob J Hyndman in Articles

Here's How Vague Priors Can Be Informative

Data analysis has to start from some set of assumptions. Bayesian prior distributions drive some people crazy because they make assumptions explicit that...

0 replies - 1960 views - 08/06/12 by John Cook in Articles

Occam’s Razor and Bayes’ Theorem

Occam’s razor says that if two models fit equally well, the simpler model is likely to be a better description of reality. Why should that be? A paper...

0 replies - 4856 views - 03/24/12 by John Cook in Articles

Tweaking Bayes’ Theorem

In Peter Norvig’s talk The Unreasonable Effectiveness of Data, starting at 37:42, he describes a translation algorithm based on Bayes’ theorem. Pick...

2 replies - 31211 views - 03/11/12 by John Cook in Articles