# Bayes theorem

## Understanding Bayes Theorem with Mario Kart

Trying to understand Bayes' theorem? Here, Luigi uses it to analyze banana-related kart accidents: And for another quick and concise take on the...

0 replies - 2234 views - 04/26/13 by Eric Gregory in Articles

## The Difference Between Prediction Intervals and Confidence Intervals

Pre­dic­tion inter­vals and con­fi­dence inter­vals are not the same thing. Unfor­tu­nately the terms are often con­fused, and I am often...

0 replies - 3772 views - 03/14/13 by Rob J Hyndman in Articles

## Here's How Vague Priors Can Be Informative

Data analysis has to start from some set of assumptions. Bayesian prior distributions drive some people crazy because they make assumptions explicit that...

0 replies - 2223 views - 08/06/12 by John Cook in Articles

## Occam’s Razor and Bayes’ Theorem

Occam’s razor says that if two models fit equally well, the simpler model is likely to be a better description of reality. Why should that be? A paper...

0 replies - 5281 views - 03/24/12 by John Cook in Articles

## Tweaking Bayes’ Theorem

In Peter Norvig’s talk The Unreasonable Effectiveness of Data, starting at 37:42, he describes a translation algorithm based on Bayes’ theorem. Pick...

2 replies - 32171 views - 03/11/12 by John Cook in Articles